tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 27, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 1163 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL ODDS

AS 1163 · HNL → LIH

departs 6:47 PM HT · arrives 7:42 PM HT
Forecast issued Wed 12:00 AM ET · 169h before departure

Typical odds Too early for a weather forecast — these are typical odds for this flight on a Tuesday in November, from the weather this date has had in past years (the range shows how much they varied). They’ll switch to forecast-based odds about 3 days before departure.

Arrive at LIH more than 15 minutes late?
12% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Low. This is mostly a starting point from history; weather forecasts haven't kicked in yet.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to LIH?

  1. On time or early
    87%
  2. 15–30 min late
    5%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    4%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    <1%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.