MQ 3375 · FAR → ORD

departs 12:43 PM CT · arrives 2:45 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 2:00 PM ET · 24h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±12 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ORD?

On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
12%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ Gusts to 31 kt, cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 0.7 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at FAR that day

↑ Gusts to 28 kt, cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at ORD that day

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ FAR usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

FAR (origin) Gusts35 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.26 in

ORD (destination) Gusts31 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility5.66667 mi Precip0.09 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3375 · FAR → ORD

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORD?