MQ 3436 · ORD → ROC

took off 12:01 PM CT · expected to land 2:12 PM ET (scheduled 11:54 AM CT → 2:43 PM ET)

Forecast issued Tue 12:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at ROC more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to ROC?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ ORD is busy at that time

↑ 11am departures from ORD are often late

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ ROC usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts28 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.04 in

ROC (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3436 · ORD → ROC

Odds over time

How late will it get to ROC?