MQ 3467 · DFW → HOU

took off 8:26 AM CT · expected to land 9:33 AM CT (scheduled 8:05 AM CT → 9:25 AM CT)

Forecast issued Tue 6:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to HOU?

LIVE

On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
40%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 25 kt, 0.4 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft, 0.7 in of rain forecast at HOU that day

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into HOU at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.43 in

HOU (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.69 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3467 · DFW → HOU

Odds over time

How late will it get to HOU?