MQ 3853 · DFW → COU

departs 3:02 PM CT · arrives 4:46 PM CT

Your aircraft is N354CG (E170), coming in as MQ 3468 from ABI: landed 2:29 PM CT.

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at COU more than 15 minutes late?

44% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to COU?

On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft, 0.9 in of rain forecast at COU that day

↑ 3pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ Gusts to 25 kt, 0.4 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into COU at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.43 in

COU (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.92 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3853 · DFW → COU

Odds over time

How late will it get to COU?