MQ 3869 · VPS → DFW

took off 12:51 PM CT · landed 3:15 PM CT (scheduled 12:08 PM CT → 2:16 PM CT)

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 10h after departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts −8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to DFW?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
✓
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 25 kt, 0.4 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ VPS usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

VPS (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling1,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

DFW (destination) Gusts28 kt Ceiling2,400 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3869 · VPS → DFW

Odds over time

How late did it get to DFW?