MQ 3882 · CID → DFW

took off 10:16 AM CT · expected to land 12:13 PM CT (scheduled 10:03 AM CT → 12:15 PM CT)

Forecast issued Tue 6:00 AM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

32% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DFW?

LIVE

On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
30%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 25 kt, 0.4 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, 0.7 in of rain forecast at CID that day

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

CID (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.65 in

DFW (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.43 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3882 · CID → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?