MQ 3896 · DFW → OKC

took off 9:31 AM CT · landed 10:02 AM CT (scheduled 9:14 AM CT → 10:25 AM CT)

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 13h after departure

Arrive at OKC more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to OKC?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 25 kt, 0.4 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↑ DFW is busy at that time

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into OKC at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts28 kt Ceiling2,400 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

OKC (destination) Gusts31 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3896 · DFW → OKC

Odds over time

How late did it get to OKC?