MQ 3949 · DFW → HOU

took off 1:39 PM CT · landed 2:24 PM CT (scheduled 12:18 PM CT → 1:38 PM CT)

Forecast issued Tue 6:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +19 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to HOU?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft, 0.7 in of rain forecast at HOU that day

↑ Gusts to 25 kt, 0.4 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ 12pm departures from DFW are often late

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts28 kt Ceiling2,400 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

HOU (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling1,000 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.84 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3949 · DFW → HOU

Odds over time

How late did it get to HOU?