MQ 3950 · DFW → SPS

departs 1:10 PM CT · arrives 2:12 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 2:00 PM ET · 24h before departure

Arrive at SPS more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±10 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SPS?

On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 25 kt, 0.4 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ 1pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into SPS at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts28 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.34 in

SPS (destination) Gusts29 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.05 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3950 · DFW → SPS

Odds over time

How late will it get to SPS?