Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

BREEZE · FLIGHT MX 1811 LANDED 12:58 AM ET, ~18 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, November 3 Today

MX 1811 · TPA → FLL

took off 12:15 AM ET · landed 12:58 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 6:00 AM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.8 in of rain forecast at FLL that day

↑ Arrivals into FLL at that hour are often late

↑ Other factors

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

TPA (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

FLL (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling4,167 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.77 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MX 1811 · TPA → FLL

Odds over time