OH 5253 · CAE → DFW

took off 2:50 PM ET · landed 4:04 PM CT (scheduled 1:48 PM ET → 3:36 PM CT)

Forecast issued Tue 4:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to DFW?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↑ Gusts to 26 kt, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CAE

Weather at each end

CAE (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling4,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.43 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5253 · CAE → DFW

Odds over time

How late did it get to DFW?