OO 3055 · SFO → SNA

departs 10:50 AM PT · arrives 12:30 PM PT

Forecast issued Mon 2:00 PM ET · 24h before departure

Arrive at SNA more than 15 minutes late?

58% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SNA?

On time or early
41%
15–30 min late
27%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 10am departures from SFO are often late

↑ SFO is prone to delays

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SNA

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.09 in

SNA (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3055 · SFO → SNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to SNA?