OO 3091 · LAX → STS

departs 7:46 PM PT · arrives 9:28 PM PT

Your aircraft is N402SY (E75L), coming in as OO 3227 from LTO: landed 4:56 PM PT.

Forecast issued Tue 9:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at STS more than 15 minutes late?

36% chance · ±0 pts −11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to STS?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ STS is prone to delays

↑ LAX is busy at that time

↑ 7pm departures from LAX are often late

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

STS (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.34 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3091 · LAX → STS

Odds over time

How late will it get to STS?