OO 3348 · SFO → RDM

departs 1:14 PM PT · arrives 2:56 PM PT

Forecast issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at RDM more than 15 minutes late?

56% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to RDM?

On time or early
43%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
22%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1pm departures from SFO are often late

↑ SFO is prone to delays

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RDM

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.14 in

RDM (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3348 · SFO → RDM

Odds over time

How late will it get to RDM?