OO 4943 · SBN → DFW

departs 5:58 PM ET · arrives 7:30 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 19h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±13 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ SBN usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

SBN (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

DFW (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.43 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4943 · SBN → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?