OO 4957 · AEX → DFW

departs 5:19 PM CT · arrives 6:47 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 19h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

54% chance · ±18 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
41%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
15%
Cancelled
11%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, 1.1 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at AEX that day

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↓ AEX usually runs smoothly

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

AEX (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility3 mi Precip1.12 in

DFW (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.43 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4957 · AEX → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?