OO 4999 · BPT → DFW

departs 3:15 PM CT · arrives 4:40 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

58% chance · ±17 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
40%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
24%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
12%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at BPT that day

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ BPT usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

BPT (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.60 in

DFW (destination) Gusts29 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.74 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4999 · BPT → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?