Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 27, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5071
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, November 3
OO 5071 · PAH → IAH
departs 2:21 PM CT · arrives 4:25 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · 47h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 31%
Mon 11/2 33%
Tue 11/3
Wed 11/4 26%
Thu 11/5 28%
Fri 11/6 26%
Sat 11/7 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
64%
chance · ±10 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
64%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
41%
Cancelled
6%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
64%
Yes 64%
No 36%
Leave PAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at IAH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
How late will it get to IAH?
On time or early
34%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
22%
Over 2 hours late
16%
Cancelled
6%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, 0.8 in of rain forecast at IAH that day
↑
0.4 in of rain forecast at PAH that day
↑
IAH is prone to delays
↓
Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
PAH (origin)
Gusts 23 kt
Ceiling 1,867 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.38 in
IAH (destination)
Gusts 14 kt
Ceiling 300 ft
Visibility 4 mi
Precip 0.78 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.