Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 27, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5094
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, November 3
OO 5094 · IAH → CHA
departs 8:39 PM CT · arrives 11:46 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 11:00 PM ET · 47h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 26%
Tue 11/3
Thu 11/5 25%
Fri 11/6 25%
Sat 11/7 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at CHA more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±4 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CHA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at CHA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CHA?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, 0.8 in of rain forecast at IAH that day
↑
This flight has been late 30% of the time recently
↑
8pm departures from IAH are often late
↓
Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
CHA usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.25 in
CHA (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.