OO 5310 · MFR → SFO

took off 6:53 AM PT · landed 7:58 AM PT (scheduled 6:21 AM PT → 7:53 AM PT)

Forecast issued Tue 6:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late did it get to SFO?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ SFO is prone to delays

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ Visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at MFR that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from MFR are usually not late

Weather at each end

MFR (origin) Gusts5 kt Ceiling3,400 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.01 in

SFO (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5310 · MFR → SFO

Odds over time

How late did it get to SFO?