OO 6247 · CMH → ORD

departs 1:45 PM ET · arrives 2:11 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 2:00 PM ET · 24h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±4 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ORD?

On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ ORD is busy at that time

↑ This flight has been late 27% of the time recently

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CMH

Weather at each end

CMH (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling9,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ORD (destination) Gusts31 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility5.66667 mi Precip0.09 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6247 · CMH → ORD

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORD?