OO 6261 · LIT → ORD

departs 3:46 PM CT · arrives 5:45 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · 21h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

58% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ORD?

On time or early
41%
15–30 min late
24%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
18%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, 1.2 in of rain forecast at LIT that day

↑ Gusts to 28 kt, cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at ORD that day

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ LIT usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

LIT (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility7 mi Precip1.07 in

ORD (destination) Gusts30 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility6.33333 mi Precip0.05 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6261 · LIT → ORD

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORD?