OO 6289 · AUS → DFW

departs 1:49 PM CT · arrives 3:04 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 5:00 PM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

53% chance · ±13 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
45%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at AUS that day

↑ Gusts to 25 kt, 0.4 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ AUS usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.63 in

DFW (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.43 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6289 · AUS → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?