OO 6430 · SHV → DFW

departs 6:40 PM CT · arrives 7:58 PM CT

Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 19h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

68% chance · ±16 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
30%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
14%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at SHV that day

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SHV (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.28 in

DFW (destination) Gusts29 kt Ceiling4,629 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.51 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6430 · SHV → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?