OO 6502 · LAX → STL

departs 2:57 PM PT · arrives 8:50 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 19h before departure

Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±7 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to STL?

On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 26 kt, cloud base down to 1,300 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at STL that day

↑ 2pm departures from LAX are often late

↑ Arrivals into STL at that hour are often late

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

STL (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.59 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6502 · LAX → STL

Odds over time

How late will it get to STL?