PT 5810 · MHT → PHL

departs 6:35 PM ET · arrives 8:12 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 12:00 PM ET · 7h before departure

Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PHL?

On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into PHL at that hour are often late

↑ PHL is prone to delays

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MHT

Weather at each end

MHT (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PHL (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

PT 5810 · MHT → PHL

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHL?