PT 6026 · PHL → MYR

took off 5:28 PM ET · landed 6:39 PM ET (scheduled 4:21 PM ET → 6:08 PM ET)

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at MYR more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to MYR?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 4pm departures from PHL are often late

↑ PHL is busy at that time

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MYR (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

PT 6026 · PHL → MYR

Odds over time

How late did it get to MYR?