QX 2000 · ANC → OTZ

took off 4:10 PM AKT · landed 5:27 PM AKST (scheduled 3:57 PM AKT → 5:49 PM AKST)

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at OTZ more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to OTZ?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Gusts to 25 kt forecast at ANC that day

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ OTZ usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ANC (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling6,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

OTZ (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

QX 2000 · ANC → OTZ

Odds over time

How late did it get to OTZ?