QX 2226 · LAX → SFO

took off 6:19 AM PT · landed 7:19 AM PT (scheduled 5:56 AM PT → 7:26 AM PT)

Forecast issued Tue 6:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late did it get to SFO?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ SFO is prone to delays

↑ QX's recent on-time record

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 5am departures from LAX are usually not late

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SFO (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

QX 2226 · LAX → SFO

Odds over time

How late did it get to SFO?