QX 2316 · EUG → SEA

departs 6:36 PM PT · arrives 7:51 PM PT

Forecast issued Tue 4:00 PM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

17% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SEA?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into SEA at that hour are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

EUG (origin) Gusts4 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SEA (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

QX 2316 · EUG → SEA

Odds over time

How late will it get to SEA?