QX 2363 · EUG → SAN

departs 2:56 PM PT · arrives 5:30 PM PT

Forecast issued Tue 6:00 AM ET · 12h before departure

Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SAN?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into SAN at that hour are often late

↑ SAN is prone to delays

↑ 2pm departures from EUG are often late

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SAN

Weather at each end

EUG (origin) Gusts4 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SAN (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

QX 2363 · EUG → SAN

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAN?