UA 2379 · EWR → RSW

departs 4:33 PM ET · arrives 7:38 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 12:00 AM ET · 17h before departure

Arrive at RSW more than 15 minutes late?

21% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to RSW?

On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 4pm departures from EWR are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

EWR (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

RSW (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.22 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2379 · EWR → RSW

Odds over time

How late will it get to RSW?