UA 2761 · ORD → PWM

departs 6:25 PM CT · arrives 9:59 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 6:00 AM ET · 13h before departure

Arrive at PWM more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±4 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PWM?

On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ Gusts to 28 kt, cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at ORD that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PWM

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts28 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility6.33333 mi Precip0.12 in

PWM (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2761 · ORD → PWM

Odds over time

How late will it get to PWM?