UA 356 · ORD → ATL

departs 2:43 PM CT · arrives 5:59 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±4 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ATL?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 2pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ Gusts to 30 kt, cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at ORD that day

↑ Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts30 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility6.33333 mi Precip0.06 in

ATL (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 356 · ORD → ATL

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATL?