WN 1045 · PDX → OAK

departs 1:11 PM PT · arrives 3:05 PM PT

Your aircraft is N8705Q (B38M), coming in as WN 1045 from MDW: in the air, landing about 11:58 AM PT, 69 min before departure.

Forecast issued Tue 1:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at OAK more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±0 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to OAK?

On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at OAK

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PDX

Weather at each end

PDX (origin) Gusts4 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility8 mi Precipnone

OAK (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling2,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1045 · PDX → OAK

Odds over time

How late will it get to OAK?