WN 1165 · DAL → SAT

departs 12:12 PM CT · arrives 1:29 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 15h before departure

Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SAT?

On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Cloud base down to 1,000 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at SAT that day

↑ 0.6 in of rain forecast at DAL that day

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into SAT at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling4,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.55 in

SAT (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling1,000 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.42 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1165 · DAL → SAT

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAT?