WN 1226 · PDX → LGB

departs 11:03 AM PT · arrives 1:31 PM PT

Forecast issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at LGB more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LGB?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ 11am departures from PDX are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PDX

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

PDX (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LGB (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1226 · PDX → LGB

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGB?