WN 1490 · DAL → SAT

departs 3:46 PM CT · arrives 5:03 PM CT

Your aircraft is N8820L (B38M), coming in as WN 1604 from DEN: landed 2:49 PM CT.

Forecast issued Tue 3:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±0 pts −7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SAT?

On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Cloud base down to 1,000 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at SAT that day

↑ 3pm departures from DAL are often late

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling2,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

SAT (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.15 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1490 · DAL → SAT

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAT?