WN 1662 · SDF → DAL

departs 12:06 PM ET · arrives 1:22 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DAL?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.6 in of rain forecast at DAL that day

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ DAL is prone to delays

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into DAL at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

SDF (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling5,167 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DAL (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.82 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1662 · SDF → DAL

Odds over time

How late will it get to DAL?