WN 1865 · DSM → MDW

departs 5:58 AM CT · arrives 7:24 AM CT

Your aircraft is N7721E (B737), coming in as WN 2172 from MDW: landed 11:27 PM CT.

Forecast issued Tue 4:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?

27% chance · ±0 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MDW?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DSM that day

↑ Gusts to 29 kt, cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi forecast at MDW that day

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into MDW at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DSM (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.27 in

MDW (destination) Gusts29 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.07 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1865 · DSM → MDW

Odds over time

How late will it get to MDW?