WN 1940 · FLL → STL

departs 5:36 AM ET · arrives 7:46 AM CT

Your aircraft is N7729A (B737), coming in as WN 4711 from STL: landed 12:14 AM ET.

Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?

10% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to STL?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 26 kt, cloud base down to 1,300 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at STL that day

↑ 0.8 in of rain forecast at FLL that day

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 5am departures from FLL are usually not late

Weather at each end

FLL (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling4,167 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.77 in

STL (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.59 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1940 · FLL → STL

Odds over time

How late will it get to STL?