WN 2148 · HOU → PHX

took off 6:17 AM CT · expected to land 7:42 AM MT (scheduled 6:11 AM CT → 8:01 AM MT)

Forecast issued Tue 6:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?

<1% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to PHX?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft, 0.7 in of rain forecast at HOU that day

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↑ PHX is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from HOU are usually not late

Weather at each end

HOU (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.69 in

PHX (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2148 · HOU → PHX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHX?