WN 2170 · DEN → STL

departs 3:44 PM MT · arrives 6:55 PM CT

Forecast issued Tue 12:00 PM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?

42% chance · ±0 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to STL?

On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 26 kt, cloud base down to 1,300 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at STL that day

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ 3pm departures from DEN are often late

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ STL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts32 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

STL (destination) Gusts30 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.75 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2170 · DEN → STL

Odds over time

How late will it get to STL?