WN 2280 · LAS → ATL

took off 12:11 AM PT · expected to land 6:29 AM ET (scheduled 12:01 AM PT → 7:10 AM ET)

Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ATL?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 12am departures from LAS are often late

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ATL (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling2,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2280 · LAS → ATL

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATL?