WN 2366 · BOS → BWI

departs 3:27 PM ET · arrives 5:04 PM ET

Your aircraft is N8575Z (B738), coming in as WN 1479 from BWI: landed 2:55 PM ET.

Forecast issued Tue 3:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?

88% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to BWI?

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ 3pm departures from BOS are often late

↑ Arrivals into BWI at that hour are often late

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BWI (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2366 · BOS → BWI

Odds over time

How late will it get to BWI?