Schedule: FAA flight plans.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2417
SCHEDULED
Tuesday, November 3 Today
WN 2417 · BHM → MCO
departs 4:51 PM CT · arrives 7:34 PM ET
Your aircraft is N7844A (B737), coming in as WN 2417 from HOU: still at HOU, due off about 4:54 PM CT, 84 min after the scheduled departure (a tight turn, so this flight may leave late).
Forecast issued Tue 6:00 PM ET · 0h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 11/4 44%
Sun 11/8 33%
Mon 11/9 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
100%
chance · ±0 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
100%
Leave 15+ late
100%
Arrive 1h+ late
100%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.7d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
The FAA now expects it to take off 181 min after the scheduled departure, about 168 min late from the gate after a typical 13-min taxi. Forecast before takeoff: 35%.
−4 pts
100%
Yes 100%
No 0%
Leave BHM more than 15 minutes late?
The FAA now expects it to take off 181 min after the scheduled departure, about 168 min late from the gate after a typical 13-min taxi. Forecast before takeoff: 31%.
−5 pts
100%
Yes 100%
No 0%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
The FAA now expects it to take off 181 min after the scheduled departure, about 168 min late from the gate after a typical 13-min taxi. Forecast before takeoff: 6%.
−2 pts
100%
Yes 100%
No 0%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
MCO usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
BHM (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 2,100 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
MCO (destination)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 2,900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.28 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.