WN 2576 · LGA → MDW

departs 12:28 PM ET · arrives 1:42 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?

23% chance · ±4 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MDW?

On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ 12pm departures from LGA are often late

↑ This flight has been late 27% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MDW (destination) Gusts29 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.05 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2576 · LGA → MDW

Odds over time

How late will it get to MDW?