WN 2601 · OAK → SAN

departs 11:26 AM PT · arrives 1:06 PM PT

Forecast issued Tue 12:00 AM ET · 14h before departure

Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SAN?

On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 46% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into SAN at that hour are often late

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SAN

Weather at each end

OAK (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling2,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

SAN (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2601 · OAK → SAN

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAN?