WN 2727 · MCO → AUS

departs 11:18 AM ET · arrives 1:06 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 23h before departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AUS?

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at AUS that day

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ 11am departures from MCO are often late

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling2,900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.28 in

AUS (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.63 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2727 · MCO → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?